Week Two Bowl Projections for the Pac-12

Story by Jon Wilner 

The Pac-12 officially has an unofficial playoff contender after Oregon’s victory at Ohio State, so allow us to briefly remind fans across the footprint what that might mean for the postseason.

After all, the conference last placed a team in the CFP five years and one pandemic ago (Washington), so memories might be hazy.

Imagine the bowl lineup as a ladder.

Typically, the Pac-12 champion would play in the Rose Bowl. But if the Ducks win the title and jump into the playoff, a vacancy would form at the top of the ladder. Each team below Oregon would move up one rung.

The process creates an additional landing spot for eligible teams. Instead of seven bowl berths, the Pac-12 would have room for eight.

That’s a potentially significant development this season because the Redbox Bowl’s ongoing hiatus left the conference with seven slots. If there are eight eligible teams, the situation could get dicey for the school at the bottom of the ladder.

But should the Ducks climb into the playoff, the eighth team would be slotted into the Pac-12’s seventh bowl.

Here we go …

College Football Playoff
Team: Oregon
Comment: From this point on, the Ducks should root for Ohio State each week — just as UCLA needs LSU to fare well in the SEC. The better those teams perform, the better the Pac-12 results become.

Rose Bowl (vs. Big 12)
Team: UCLA
Comment: Might as well circle the date now: Oct. 23. That’s when the Bruins host Oregon in what could be a playoff elimination game. The kickoff time hasn’t been set, but we expect the showdown to air lives in Manila on the Pac-12 Networks.

Alamo Bowl (vs. Big Ten)
Team: Arizona State
Comment: The Sun Devils are the great unknown after blasting two creampuffs, but we’ll have a sense of their ultimate trajectory after Saturday night in Provo.

Las Vegas Bowl (vs. ACC)
Team: Utah
Comment: The situation could get a bit uncomfortable if the Utes lose this week at San Diego State and need to finish 5-4 in conference play to qualify. One reason: It now appears the teams they miss in the North (Cal and Washington) are the ones they actually want to play.

Holiday Bowl (vs. ACC)
Team: USC
Comment: Say this for the Trojans: No school has more experience with interim head coaches. Donte Williams is the third in the past eight years.

Sun Bowl (vs. ACC)
Team: Colorado
Comment: The Buffaloes have a four-win offense and an eight-win defense, so let’s split the difference and project they get to six. CU could be a prime beneficiary of Oregon climbing into the playoff.

LA Bowl (vs. Mountain West)
Team: Stanford
Comment: Regardless of the teams involved, we’re taking the Mountain West entry in this matchup after watching the conference win three games head-to-head against the Pac-12.

ESPN Bowl (Armed Forces, Gasparilla, or First Responders)
Team: Oregon State
Comment: At this point, there is no game on the schedule. The Beavers cannot win — they beat Oregon last year, remember — but only one game they cannot lose. So let’s assume they’re 2-1 after this week (Idaho) with nine wild cards to play. Sure, we can see four more Ws and don’t even need to squint.

Non-qualifier
Team: Arizona
Comment: The way they played last weekend, the Wildcats might not be worthy of the FCS postseason.

Non-qualifier
Team: Cal
Comment: All previous postseason projections for Cal assumed the defense would play at a high level each week to offset the hit-and-miss offense. Now, we’re not so sure.

Non-qualifier
Team: Washington
Comment: At least Washington fans need not worry about USC trying to steal their head coach again.

Non-qualifier
Team: Washington State
Comment: The Cougars have a fighting chance for the postseason after clobbering Portland State, but our calculations indicate they will need at least one major upset and must — must — beat BYU.

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